Floyd Mayweather vs Logan Paul odds, predictions, betting trends for 2021 fight
Floyd Mayweather to face YouTube sensation Logan Paul in a special eight-round exhibition bout June 6 in Miami. That’s a total shift on paper, as the undefeated Five Division World Champion beat a plethora of current and future Hall of Fame members while Logan Paul lost his only professional boxing match to another YouTuber.
But that doesn’t mean that there is no way to make money betting on the fight. There are special rules in place, but that shouldn’t deter anyone who finds an opportunity. Mayweather never shows up to do anything other than entertain and Paul is only here because he just can’t pass up the opportunity to step into the ring with one of the greatest boxers of all time.
Let’s take a look at the betting lines and see where the opportunities to make money lie.
All betting odds courtesy of William Hill.
Floyd Mayweather vs Logan Paul odds
- Floyd Mayweather: -909
- Logan Paul: +550
- Mintage: +1200
These ratings are absolutely obscene. In no universe should Logan Paul have a better chance of beating Mayweather than Andre Berto. Mayweather was a huge -3000 favorite against Berto and is just a -909 against Paul. Why? Who knows. But unless you have a lot of money to put in – it will take you $ 909 to win $ 100 if you bet on Mayweather – stay away from this betting line. As tempted as you are to put money on Paul, don’t. It’s not worth the shot.
Paris prop Mayweather vs. Paul
- Mayweather by (T) KO: -227
- Paul by (T) KO: +800
- Mayweather wins in round 1: +500
- Mayweather wins in round 2: +500
- Mayweather wins in round 3: +800
- Mayweather wins in round 4: +900
- Mayweather wins in round 5: +1200
- Mayweather wins in round 6: +1400
- Mayweather wins in round 7: +1400
- Mayweather wins in round 8: +1 600
- Paul wins in round 1: +4000
- Paul wins in round 2: +4000
- Paul wins in round 3: +4000
- Paul wins in round 4: +4000
- Paul wins in round 5: +5000
- Paul wins in round 6: +5000
- Paul wins in round 7: +6600
- Paul wins in round 8: +6600
This is where you will find the most profitable bets. But you will have to be particular enough to choose which turn Mayweather decides to end the fight. It’s really up to him to determine when he’s done playing and end the YouTuber posing as a boxer.
First of all: eliminate any possibility of betting on Logan Paul. As tempting as these odds may sound, there’s no way he’ll beat an undefeated fighter who has faced a plethora of champions throughout his career.
The most plausible bet line is Mayweather by (T) KO at -227, which means you would have to bet $ 227 to win $ 100 if Mayweather were to end the fight by KO. But if that’s too expensive for your liking, given that you’ll have to bet a large amount to see a decent comeback, betting on Mayweather to finish the fight early is very likely. Unlike his fight with Conor McGregor where it appeared Mayweather wanted to carry McGregor long enough to spark interest in a rematch, there is no reason for Mayweather to drag this fight into later rounds. On the one hand, Paul is bigger and there is always a risk that Paul will try to hurt Mayweather in some other way. Second, there is absolutely no reason for Mayweather to make Paul look good. Anything beyond a few laps will give the impression that the undefeated champion has lost a step.
Consider what Mayweather did to Tenshin Nasukawa in December 2018 in his only other show. Mayweather wasted little time with his kickboxing opponent and beat him in one round. With possible eyes on a showdown with Logan’s younger brother Jake, Mayweather will likely make an example of his June 6 opponent. Not to mention that Jake Paul stealing Mayweather’s hat at the press conference likely infuriated the 44-year-old to perform a stellar punishment display.
Floyd Mayweather vs Logan Paul prediction
Expect Mayweather to end Paul in all three rounds. With spins one and two at +500 and the third spins at +800, spreading the bet over those spins should probably generate a healthy profit. A $ 100 bet in the first or second round will earn a profit of $ 500 while the same bet in the third round will earn $ 800.
Selection of sports news: Mayweather by (T) KOs in the first round, two or three.